← Vincent's Card Colosseum RDO Store Champship
Fire Firebloom BurnTier 1
at Vincent's Card Colosseum RDO Store Champship
decks
2
(16.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9
5-4-0
overall winrate
55.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.1%
avg ELO -0.9 per match
expected value
50.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1243
· median 1243
· range 1134–1353
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1111
Q1 1192
Q3 1295
1372
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 25.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.3% | -20.4 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 16.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.9% | +6.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 8.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 35.0% | -14.4 |
| Fire Lorraine | 8.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.4% | +0.4 |
| Water Astra Diana | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.3% | +16.5 |
| Water Exia | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.8% | +7.8 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.2% | +9.9 |
